The 2024 Copa America semifinals feature a highly anticipated clash between Argentina vs Canada. The match, set to take place on Tuesday night at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ, follows an earlier game between Colombia and Uruguay. As we gear up for this crucial encounter, let’s dive into the best betting picks and analysis for this exciting semifinal.
Argentina vs Canada Odds and Betting Lines
In single-elimination tournaments like Copa America, sportsbooks offer “to advance” odds in addition to standard moneyline bets. These odds are essential for those who want to pick the winner regardless of how they secure the victory.
Argentina vs Canada “To Advance” Odds:
- BetMGM: Argentina -550, Canada +380
- FanDuel: Argentina -750, Canada +420
- DraftKings: Argentina -700, Canada +450
- ESPN BET: Argentina -600, Canada +400
- bet365: Argentina -700, Canada +450
Betting Analysis: Can Canada Upset Argentina?
While Argentina are the clear favorites, Canada’s performance in the group stage suggests they shouldn’t be underestimated. Despite the odds, Canada held their own against Argentina during their initial meeting on June 20 in Atlanta. In that match, Canada’s resilient defense managed to keep Argentina at bay for the first half, with Argentina breaking through in the 49th minute thanks to Julian Alvarez and securing the win with an 88th-minute goal from Lautaro Martinez, assisted by Lionel Messi.
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Canada’s Strategy and Defensive Strengths
Canada’s aggressive pressing strategy has been effective, allowing only one goal in their last three matches against Peru, Chile, and Venezuela. Unlike many underdogs who adopt a defensive stance, Jesse Marsch’s team has shown a willingness to engage their opponents head-on. This proactive approach could pose a challenge for Argentina, especially if Messi and his teammates find themselves pressed for space.
The Messi Factor: Will He Shine?
Lionel Messi’s performance is always a critical factor in any match. So far in this tournament, Messi has contributed one goal and zero assists in three matches, sitting out the group stage finale against Peru. He has not looked entirely fit, as evidenced by his missed penalty kick in the shootout against Ecuador.
If Messi returns to his peak form against Canada, Argentina’s chances of a decisive victory increase significantly. Even if Messi is not at his best, Argentina’s overall talent and experience might be enough to overcome Canada’s spirited challenge.
Prediction and Best Bets
Argentina have shown resilience throughout the tournament, narrowly escaping elimination against Ecuador. Canada’s high-press strategy could provide opportunities for Argentina, particularly if Messi and his teammates exploit the spaces left open.
Prediction: Argentina 2, Canada 0
Best Bets:
- Argentina Spread (Regular Time) -1.5 (-105 at DraftKings)
- Argentina Win to Zero (-130)
Given Argentina’s dominance in possession and their ability to create numerous scoring opportunities, betting on Argentina to cover the spread and win without conceding a goal appears to be a solid strategy. Canada’s commendable efforts will likely fall short against the experienced and talented Argentine squad.
Conclusion
The Copa America semifinal between Argentina and Canada promises to be an exciting match with high stakes. While Argentina are favored to advance, Canada’s aggressive approach and recent performances suggest they could provide a tough challenge. By analyzing the odds, team strategies, and key players, we’ve identified the best betting picks to enhance your Copa America experience.
